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Invest2 publishers3 min readPublished

Blockstream bets forensic tracing beats paying a $32m bounty for the last 598.5 BTC

The attackers who drained 4,000 BTC from Liquid handed back 3,400 after the patch and kept 598.5. Blockstream puts about $47 million on that hold and says it will trace the coins instead of paying.

The Investor · Invest desk

Illustration accompanying Blockstream bets forensic tracing beats paying a $32m bounty for the last 598.5 BTC

What happened

  • About 4,000 Bitcoin, then worth roughly $320 million, left Liquid's federation wallet on September 6, and the sidechain paused operations after the withdrawal.
  • Blockstream said on September 11 that it would not pay a ransom for the remaining 598.5 BTC, which it valued at approximately $47 million.
  • The exploit used a bug in the Elements codebase to create unbacked L-BTC, which was then swapped for real Bitcoin held in the federation wallet.

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Why it matters

  • constraint The exchanges and institutional traders Liquid was built for cannot move Bitcoin in or out while peg transfers stay suspended, and empty blocks give them nothing to settle against.
  • cost Neither publisher says who absorbs the 598.5 BTC if tracing fails, and the attackers aimed their threatened loss at Liquid holders, not at Blockstream's balance sheet.
  • exposure Recovery now depends on exchanges, service providers and forensic firms Blockstream cannot compel, and the company has named none of them.
  • precedent Nothing in the record shows another exploit victim adopting the no-bounty policy, so the deterrent value of Blockstream's stand rests on whether the tracing turns coins into freezes or names.

The demand was 10% of 4,000 BTC, so 400 coins, and at the roughly $80,000 a coin implied by the $320 million Cointelegraph put on the September 6 withdrawal, that is about $32 million [1][1][2]. The attackers kept 598.5 coins, which Crypto Briefing values at about $47 million [3]. They are holding about one and a half times what they asked to be paid [3]. Paying would have bought back $47 million of Bitcoin for $32 million, a $15 million difference on the day [7]. Blockstream declined.

The 15% warning is not a separate threat. Of 4,000 coins, 598.5 is 14.96%, so the loss the attackers said Liquid holders would take is the amount already withheld [7][4]. It needs no further action from them.

"Taking assets without authorization and withholding their return is a crime, not responsible disclosure," Blockstream said Friday. "It is not white-hat activity. It is theft." [5] The company said it had engaged with the hackers in good faith to recover user funds but would not accept their demands [17]. The bounty demand reached the public through an onchain message shared by Jan3 chief executive and former Blockstream chief strategy officer Samson Mow [6].

What follows is not a lawsuit. Blockstream said it would work with law enforcement, exchanges, service providers and forensic specialists to trace the assets and identify those responsible [8]. Neither account names an agency, a jurisdiction or a case.

The two publishers also disagree on who moved the 3,400 BTC. Crypto Briefing describes Blockstream as recovering roughly 3,400 of the 4,000 coins drained, about 85% [15][4]. Cointelegraph says the actors returned 3,400 BTC after Blockstream said the affected bridge nodes had been patched [2]. In one version the patch got the money back; in the other the people holding the coins chose how much to hand over.

The bug sat in Elements, the open-source codebase under Liquid, and it allowed the creation of unbacked L-BTC that was then swapped for real Bitcoin out of the federation wallet [9]. The signing keys were not compromised and the multi-signature custody model held, so the failure was in how peg transactions were validated [10]. Liquid resumed block production on Thursday with empty blocks after emergency software updates, while transactions and Bitcoin transfers into and out of the network remained suspended [12].

The precedent argument is Blockstream's own. Crypto Briefing reports the company's view that compensating attackers is theft negotiation and would create a playbook for every future exploit [13]. That view is only priced if the tracing produces something: coins frozen at an exchange, or a name. If it does not, the figure left on the public record is a $47 million shortfall accepted to avoid a $32 million payment [3][2], and this ranks among the largest single exploits in crypto this year [16].

What to watch

  • Whether a named exchange freezes deposits traced to the 598.5 BTC, or a jurisdiction opens a case.
  • Whether Liquid restores Bitcoin transfers in and out, or keeps producing empty blocks.
  • Whether the next victim of a comparable exploit pays a bounty at all.
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