Published Product3 min read
Novig Sets Its Age Floor at 21 and Writes the Rules Down Before Anyone Makes It
The sports-only exchange codified a responsible trading framework in its rulebook days after launch, and sued four states in the same week. The guardrails are cheap; the concentration risk is not.
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What happened
- Novig, a sports trading company run by Jacob Fortinsky, launched its prediction market last week and facilitated $18 million in trading volume on its first day.
- Novig launched a "responsible trading framework" in its exchange rulebook, codifying its guardrails as part of an effort to be seen as a kinder, gentler prediction market player.
- Unlike Polymarket and Kalshi, which allow people 18 and older to participate, Novig requires users to be at least 21.
- Within three days of launching, Novig sued New York, Massachusetts, New Mexico and Washington, states that have taken an aggressive approach to curbing prediction markets.
- Novig's minimum age is three years higher than the minimum age at Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Why it matters
Novig, a sports prediction market that launched last week and did $18 million in trading volume on its first day, has put a "responsible trading framework" into its exchange rulebook [1][2]. The substance is a minimum age of 21 rather than the 18 that Kalshi and Polymarket allow, plus marketing restrictions, and it arrives while the company is simultaneously suing four states over their gambling laws [3][4][9].
Three years of age floor is the whole differentiator on eligibility [5]. CEO Jacob Fortinsky, who is 28, told WIRED the decision responded to "valid concerns" about younger participants' susceptibility to risky behavior, including lobbying from the NCAA and other professional groups [6][7]. He expects "a broader reckoning coming with the younger traders," a group he describes as "particularly susceptible to irresponsible behavior and financial ruin" [8].
The rest of the framework is a list of things Novig will not do: no marketing to minors, no ads claiming there is no risk, no ads pitched at a prospective customer's money troubles [10]. Operationally this looks like using TikTok's over-21 targeting setting [11]. Fortinsky frames it as positioning Novig as a "serious, legitimate financial product," and says some competitors "have been seen as being a little bit more cavalier in certain regards." He declined to name them [12][13].
Read the cost side. Barring 18-to-20-year-olds and declining to run ads that promise no risk is a small revenue sacrifice against the alternative, which is having those rules written for you by a state legislature or a federal regulator with less interest in your unit economics. Novig only lists sports markets, so it skips the contested political territory like US elections and the Iran war [14]. That narrowness is also its exposure: if sports event contracts are banned, Kalshi and Polymarket lose the majority of their action, and Novig loses everything, because sports is all it does [15].
Which explains the aggression. Within three days of launching, Novig sued New York, Massachusetts, New Mexico and Washington, seeking to block them from applying state gambling law to what it says is a federally regulated exchange [4][16]. Sports betting attorney Daniel Wallach called the complaints a "great marketing strategy" and a way of announcing arrival [17]. So far the courts have not obliged: a New York judge denied Novig's temporary restraining order because granting it would undermine an earlier decision in a case against Kalshi, and Wallach says it is "increasingly looking more positive for the states" [18][19]. Dozens of these fights are running at once, with states suing Kalshi, Kalshi countersuing, and the CFTC suing several states over jurisdiction [20][21].
The reputational cost is real even at 21-plus. When the New York Mets announced a partnership with Novig, the team drew a flood of social media criticism, including one post reading "This is vile" [22].
Watch three things: whether Kalshi or Polymarket match the 21 floor once a state or Congress starts drafting, who actually audits Novig's rulebook commitments given no outside body is named as enforcing them [10], and how the jurisdictional question moves, since Wallach and other observers expect it to reach the US Supreme Court before anything is settled [23].
Claim ledger
Ranked by verification strength, evidence, and original report placement.
- [1]
Novig, a sports trading company run by Jacob Fortinsky, launched its prediction market last week and facilitated $18 million in trading volume on its first day.
- [2]
Novig launched a "responsible trading framework" in its exchange rulebook, codifying its guardrails as part of an effort to be seen as a kinder, gentler prediction market player.
- [3]
Unlike Polymarket and Kalshi, which allow people 18 and older to participate, Novig requires users to be at least 21.
- [4]
Within three days of launching, Novig sued New York, Massachusetts, New Mexico and Washington, states that have taken an aggressive approach to curbing prediction markets.
- [7]
Fortinsky says the 21-and-over decision was made in response to "valid concerns" put forth about the susceptibility of younger participants to risky behavior, including lobbying from the NCAA and other professional groups.
Sources & coverage · 1 publisher
The reporting this story was synthesized from, earliest first. Every link goes to the original.
- wired.comKate KnibbsAug 13Why This Prediction Market Banned Teens
Additional citations
- WIRED
- Jacob Fortinsky, via WIRED
- Daniel Wallach, via WIRED



