New York Attorney General Letitia James now oversees the Cornell fraternity rape case in which a district attorney filed no charges in 2024. The review now turns on what police passed to prosecutors, a question Gov. Kathy Hochul has asked in public.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence50
Surgeons earned about 44 percent more for male-specific procedures than female analogues in a 1997 study, a gap that has barely narrowed in 20 years. A doctor-run committee sets those values, so hospitals receive the gap as a price signal that pulls resources away from gynecology.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives40
- Confidence55
Clinics bill free ACA checkups a second time as sick visits when patients raise a health problem, in one case $170 for a mention of back stiffness. The ACA never defined the visit, so each insurer draws that line and patients find it on the bill.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives60
- Confidence45
US forces completed their formal withdrawal from Iraq 23 years after the invasion, closing a phased drawdown the Biden administration agreed. Baghdad has postponed the militia disarmament it pinned to the same day, so the harder half of that timetable is still open.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence35
Axios reporter Nathan Bomey says the Iran war's diesel surge, felt first by truckers and farmers, will show up in grocery prices within weeks, if not days. Operators paying for freight or farm inputs face a cost increase that lands inside the current quarter's budget.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence40
Economists Leonardo D'Amico, Evan Soltas and Audrey Wang find approving a standard US apartment building took 1.5 years in 2023, up from 0.6 in 2000. For developers and city halls, that puts a number on the part of housing delay set by local review rules.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence50
Trump's tariff cut on up to 661 million pounds of imported lean beef trimmings will shave a couple of cents off ground beef at best, by Vox's reckoning. The political cost runs the other way, as farm-state Republicans attack a plan that helps their cattle ranchers' foreign competitors.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Exxon Mobil and Suncor argue that the Constitution's structure bars Boulder's climate-cost suit from state court, in a case the Supreme Court hears October 5. Vox reports they cite no clause of the text, so the case tests the justices' textualism as much as Boulder's claim.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives60
- Confidence40
The US Supreme Court's refusal to force Missouri's 2025 map into the midterms held only as long as it took a district judge in the same state to rule the other way, on identical legal arguments.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Six Republicans have now broken with the president in public over immigration, the Iran war and a plan to cut beef tariffs. Two of the six put the break on the record with a vote. Vox reports his approval is reaching new lows.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
Seventy percent of American adults say they are more worried than excited about AI, and the one exception in the polling is scientific research and medicine. The fastest uptake inside medicine is administrative.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption32
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives38
- Confidence45
Judge Timothy Kelly, whom Trump appointed, sounded unconvinced by the national-security case for keeping CNN, MS NOW and Politico off the grounds, and said he would rule as soon as possible. The exclusion is about a week old.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption62
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives70
- Confidence46
Abortion runs in fewer than 5 percent of Democratic Senate ads nationally and about 15 percent of the $40.8 million spent in Maine, where Planned Parenthood Votes has placed its largest buy of 2026 against Susan Collins.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives58
- Confidence55
Vox, citing The Intercept, says the agreement OpenAI signed with the Pentagon asks for national security models with minimal refusal rates, a standard Anthropic declined at the cost of a major government deal.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
Approval among Latinos who voted for Trump in 2024 has gone from 93 percent to 66 percent, and the researcher reporting it says the reason is that Latinos carry more of the wage workforce than any other group.
Reality
- Evidence36
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+26
- Incentives62
- Confidence54
A Vox newsletter cites the number as evidence that extinction talk has reached the mainstream. The question behind it asked Americans to rate an outcome, and that shapes what a leader can answer.
Reality
- Evidence24
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives55
- Confidence34
Recent fires have burned through suburban neighborhoods in Washington, Colorado and California, and Vox reports that smoke from burning houses and vehicles carries plastic and metal oxides whose long-term health effects are still being studied.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives25
- Confidence55
Robin Johnson's ten-year project asked 28 Democrats who carried heavily working-class battleground districts how they did it. They agreed on the cultural obstacle and split on whether to run as populists or as business allies.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives68
- Confidence52
Vox revisits the Idaho National Laboratory's Aurora Generator Test, where 30 lines of code destroyed a diesel generator, and argues that human-directed AI hacking of industrial equipment is the risk a board can actually inventory.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives35
- Confidence55
The Supreme Court will not hear Genalo v. Black. Both men at its center are out of detention, one by leaving the country and one by pardon, and the question of indefinite detention stays unanswered.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives72
- Confidence58
Earlier coverage
- Two insect traps in New York parks will screen for species the DNA barcode library cannot match
Science · September 12, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Abbott's data center pause moves compute siting onto the election calendar
Leadership · September 7, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Murmuration survey: nearly 30% of young Americans reject political labels, most say they couldn't cover a $500 expense
Leadership · September 5, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Rising rates and congressional inaction moved Bernstein off his calm debt position
Leadership · September 5, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Republicans ask the justices to extend the candidate ad discount to party committees
Leadership · September 3, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Tucson's utility vote led AWS to abandon its 290-acre Project Blue data center
Leadership · September 3, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Local consent is becoming the scarce input in data center plans
Leadership · September 1, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Residencies move a tour's biggest cost onto the fans who have to travel
Leadership · August 28, 2026 · 1 publisher
- California moves to carve Altadena out of one of its own pro-housing laws
Leadership · August 28, 2026 · 1 publisher
- The ACA subsidy lapse reaches employers through the compensation line
Leadership · August 28, 2026 · 1 publisher
- OpenAI writes the Pentagon's looser human-control standard into its own policy
Leadership · August 28, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Summer's 17,000 cyclosporiasis cases move produce verification onto the buyer's books
Leadership · August 27, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Senator Merkley asks two childcare chains for the memos they wrote when they bought in
Leadership · August 27, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Mamdani is buying credibility in asphalt before he asks New Yorkers to fund the hard part
Leadership · August 27, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Trump cut Korea drills before talks exist. Price alliance reliability, not just Pyongyang.
Leadership · August 19, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Cuba has 2.6 times America's doctors per capita. The grid took the health system anyway.
Leadership · August 19, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Two imprint closures in one year turn middle grade into a category you manage down
Leadership · August 19, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Wisconsin's governor's race has turned data centers into a top-of-ticket liability
Leadership · August 19, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Trump's ballroom case is a standing case, and permitting-exposed firms should read it that way
Leadership · August 18, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Twenty years of nudges, no movement: the CDC data behind the GLP-1 spending decision
Leadership · August 15, 2026 · 1 publisher