Homeland Security proposed making US schools pay $70,000 for each international student entering the OPT work program, plus $30,000 per renewal. Colleges would be paying for one of their main recruiting draws, and Fortune reported that new foreign enrollment fell 17% last fall.
Perspective Coverage
6 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 22%
- Operator
- Operator 51%
- Investor
- Investor 27%
Reality
- Evidence80
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence72
US officials are suspending Microsoft, Cognizant, Capgemini and five other named firms from the PERM green-card program, citing alleged fraud. Meta, Amazon and Google keep access, leaving the named firms to recruit against rivals that can still sponsor.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives60
- Confidence55
Skilled foreign workers are putting off homes and job moves amid the contested $100,000 H-1B fee, according to Business Insider interviews. For managers, a promotion or transfer that needs an amended petition can look like risk to the employee holding the visa.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives45
- Confidence45
The proposed per-petition fee runs 21 to 52 times what cap-subject petitions used to cost, and its exemptions steer hiring toward whoever is already in the US. Comment is the last stop before finalisation.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives55
- Confidence55
State is expected to revoke B1 and B2 visas issued since 2016 to holders who later sought asylum. The disqualifying act happens after the trip is booked, and officials will not name a date.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 15%
- Operator
- Operator 52%
- Investor
- Investor 33%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives55
- Confidence50
The charge is 20 to 50 times current levels and is being pushed through despite adverse rulings. What it reprices is not the paperwork but where companies put the work.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 21%
- Operator
- Operator 49%
- Investor
- Investor 30%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence68
DHS says the money is cost recovery, not restriction. For employers, the difference is a contingent $203,265 per hire abroad and a headcount plan hostage to litigation.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives70
- Confidence65
Business Insider's year-later series on the H-1B crackdown opens with a Northwestern graduate who left Chicago for Germany after her employer said it could not sponsor her visa. The sponsorship call was the employer's.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption52
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives48
- Confidence60
The employment-based backlog has passed 1.2 million people against a statutory ceiling of 140,000 a year, which means the preference category an employer files in now matters more to a skilled hire's tenure than the offer letter.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives66
- Confidence61
Blumenthal's whistleblower has work starting June 15, stopping June 25 and restarting July 29, which leaves 58 usable days inside a three-month window, plus a design where one bad scan holds a whole batch.
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives78
- Confidence46
build1 publisherOne report The proposed cap-subject fee reaches first-time petitions for people already in the US, at any employer size. Run DHS's 1 percent revenue test backwards and the break-even sponsor sits near $10.3 million.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives66
- Confidence63