University of Utah scientists used 25 ice cores to show that El Nino and the Madden-Julian Oscillation steer yearly snowfall on the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. The finding makes the tropical Pacific and Indian oceans part of estimating how much snow the sheet gains each year.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives30
- Confidence55
University of Utah geologists measured a Wasatch rock glacier at 83 percent ice. The area-to-volume rule they built from that one site now carries Utah's billion tons and the world's 48 gigatons.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives40
- Confidence55
University of Utah astronomers observed 29 massive stars in six dwarf galaxies with Hubble and found winds weaken sharply below a fifth of solar metallicity. None of the stars sits in an early galaxy, so the link to Webb's early galaxies remains an inference.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
The Utah-led TEMPOS survey took ultraviolet spectra of 29 massive stars in six nearby dwarf galaxies, and at the lowest metallicities the winds slow far faster than the trend measured in more metal-rich stars.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives55
- Confidence55
Salk researchers recorded and then manipulated the amygdalostriatal transition zone in freely moving mice, and report in Neuron that dopamine-expressing neurons there are needed to mount a fear response.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives60
- Confidence52
Ground-penetrating radar cannot always find bedrock beneath a rock glacier's rubble, so a University of Utah team measured gravity across the ice instead and turned the result into a rule linking surface area to ice volume.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives35
- Confidence58
A report commissioned by Utah's Division of Water Resources totals dust health damages at three lake elevations. It also narrows the actively emitting lakebed to about 70 square miles of the more than 800 now exposed.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
The Utah-led signal marks a dip in photosynthesis, not yet a dead tree, and it clears the drought background by only 10 to 20 percent. That thin margin makes the honest claim here triage, not prediction.
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption9
- Hype gap+31
- Incentives68
- Confidence52
The first large-scale US analysis of smoke-rain events finds that a handful of days can dominate a year's nutrient delivery to downwind soils and water.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives62
- Confidence55
A survey of nearly 1,500 people found 88 percent believe a course must always be completed, and three quarters say a medical professional told them so. Duration guidance has since narrowed.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives42
- Confidence58