Treasury's temporary rules let it open Trump Accounts for up to 60 million eligible children on its own, starting Oct. 1. Employers and donors deciding on contributions this quarter are now sizing them against a wider group of accounts.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
Trump has floated $5,000 DOGE dividends and $2,000 tariff rebates since taking office. The only household cash Congress has enacted is a tax-free $1,000 grant for children born in the next few years.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+64
- Incentives70
- Confidence58
A Dallas Morning News column puts sign-ups for the $1,000 newborn seed below one in ten eligible children. The $7 billion that Dell and Dalio money has layered on top reaches only the families who enrol.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives68
- Confidence33
Proposed regs cap eligible investments at 0.1% in annual fees and require an unleveraged US equity index fund until the year the child turns 17. Seven million accounts are already open.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption66
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives68
- Confidence56
A 50-year lease on federal land at Fort Bliss suggests the next tranche of compute capacity gets sourced through Washington, not through joint ventures with big tech.
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+27
- Incentives63
- Confidence45