Seoul Credit Guarantee Foundation will issue 68.75 billion won in special guarantees on a 5.5 billion won base from Hana Bank, Naver Pay and NAVER. Merchants in the six night-market alleys get higher limits from a pool that every small business in Seoul can also tap.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap
- Insufficient
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Seoul named three more low-rise sites special architectural zones, letting single-lot rebuilds use up to 1.2 times the standard floor area ratio. The bonus is modest per lot and comes with a 12-month deadline to start building, so it favors owners who can finance a rebuild quickly.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Seoul finalized a Fast Track plan rezoning a low-rise Mangwon-dong block in Mapo for a 250% floor area ratio and about 1,550 homes. Much of the plan covers what the site gives back to the shopping streets around it.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives60
- Confidence55
Seoul will hold 20-year public-housing tenants to their move-out dates from 2027 as the average apartment jeonse reaches a record 636.63 million won. Each exit is meant to free a unit for a waiting-list family, so the policy mostly changes which households chase Seoul's thinning listings.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives55
- Confidence52
Seoul's mayor still refuses housing on the Yongsan Park main grounds, but he has now put a Gangnam sewage plant on the table. The talks stop being about whether and start being about which land.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence60
Mayor Oh Se-hoon put Seoul's five-year average at 35 newly designated redevelopment zones a year against 17 for the previous decade, and he is asking the land ministry for a fifth more floor area on private sites.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives78
- Confidence46
The revised plan for the Changsin 1st Zone lifts the height cap from about 90 meters to 139 and the floor area ratio to 1,200 percent, and the developer pays in ground-level green space and two relocated Dongdaemun Station exits.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives65
- Confidence55
Seoul has named the first six sites in a hub program it wants to grow to 70 locations by 2030. Two of them can be built at a floor area ratio of up to 1,300 percent on plots just over 5,000 square meters.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives68
- Confidence52
Five zones behind Seoul Station are cleared to build about 6,500 homes. The one signed builder contract, 355.6 billion won for 697 flats at Cheongpa 1, values the work at roughly 510 million won an apartment.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
August brought 3,012 filings, the fewest since Seoul made the whole city a land transaction permit zone last October, and the average price on those filings still rose 0.17%, held up by the northern districts and the Han River belt.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption70
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives62
- Confidence60
Seoul's permit data show foreign-tourist homestays in Seongsu at 140 this year, while the promotion district that governs the area's floor area bonuses still puts 46 IT trades at the front of the queue.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption71
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives46
- Confidence56
Seoul permit data compiled by The Seoul Economic Daily puts registered homestays in Seongsu at 140 this year against five in 2023, while the district's own plan keeps its floor-area bonuses for IT and office tenants.
Reality
- Evidence57
- Adoption74
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives45
- Confidence56
A party-government plan hands redevelopment approval authority for projects of 500 units or fewer to district heads. For sponsors, the counterparty changes before the politics resolve.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives74
- Confidence40
The central bank ties 268,000 of a 285,000 fall in jobs for 15- to 29-year-olds to AI-exposed industries. Exposure is not causation, but the vanishing rung it describes is real.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives58
- Confidence37
Haan Jugong 1 through 12 all moved toward rebuilding, leaving two or three units for sale per complex. A 76-square-meter unit printed 1.12 billion won, up 200 to 300 million in under a year.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives61
- Confidence33
The Aug. 13 fast-track plan books 27,000 homes and promises 73,000 more plots by year-end. Whether the second number exists depends on a meeting between the land minister and Seoul's mayor.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+31
- Incentives74
- Confidence45
District 7 sat idle for more than a decade on association disputes. Its June implementation approval puts 1,435 units on a 2028 groundbreaking and 2031 completion schedule.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives62
- Confidence40
The land ministry put all 3.03 million square metres of Yongsan Park in play. The district, the city government and the park's own special act all stand in the way.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives65
- Confidence55