Mayura Balakrishnan and colleagues separated three overlapping X-ray sources in Chandra data to make the first uncontaminated maps of Sgr A East. The cleaner signal gives a baseline for testing whether the remnant has heated the gas around the Milky Way's central black hole.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Rodrigo Silva's team at Coimbra counted 43% of the S-cluster stars as binaries, then ran 100,000 simulated pairs through the black hole's tides for a million years and finished at 38%, close enough to argue the stars were born where they orbit.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives30
- Confidence55
Stefan Gillessen's group pulled S301 out of Very Large Telescope monitoring begun in 2023, and its perihelion of twelve astronomical units sits close enough that frame dragging should register in the orbit after roughly another decade of tracking.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives58
- Confidence45
S301 skims Sagittarius A* at about 8 percent of light speed. That proximity gives the GRAVITY+ team a direct spin measurement inside ten years, instead of decades of indirect modelling.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 46%
- Operator
- Operator 30%
- Investor
- Investor 24%
Reality
- Evidence82
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives52
- Confidence74
JWST spectra of the star IRS 3 show silicate dust and water surviving near Sagittarius A*, and reclassify the star as oxygen-rich rather than carbon-rich.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives40
- Confidence52