The build is now the largest driver of U.S. private investment growth, and 71% of Americans polled want none of it nearby, which makes entitlement risk rather than capital the thing infrastructure investors have to price.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 8%
- Operator
- Operator 46%
- Investor
- Investor 46%
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption62
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives64
- Confidence60
H.R. 9340 would have utilities recover the full incremental cost of new grid capacity from customers drawing 100 MW at one site, and it asks state commissions only to consider the standard. The Senate has not moved a data center bill.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 8%
- Operator
- Operator 45%
- Investor
- Investor 47%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives65
- Confidence70
The Ratepayer Protection Act would let state regulators require AI data centers drawing 100 megawatts or more to pay for their own generation and transmission. Both of its sponsors are defending toss-up seats.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives78
- Confidence52
The governor who announced a $40bn Google buildout now wants grid-connection audits and full infrastructure charges. Community consent has become a line item in the schedule.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption66
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives74
- Confidence57
The Tennessee Valley Authority has pulled data centers out of its manufacturing rate class and attached capacity commitments to new load. Grid access is now a capex line, not a siting question.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+4
- Incentives62
- Confidence48
Local opposition stalled at least 75 projects worth about $130bn in three months, according to Bloomberg. That belongs in the capacity plan, not the comms plan.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption71
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives66
- Confidence52
Commerce and Tokyo are funding early development on two gas hubs in Texas and Pennsylvania aimed at data centers. First power is targeted for late 2028, full build for 2032.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives72
- Confidence45