person

Phil Klotzbach

Researcher who studies hurricanes and their historical records.

Current clusters

science1 publisher

El Niño helps keep the Atlantic hurricane-free as the eastern Pacific logs eight

El Niño's wind shear has helped hold the 2026 Atlantic to seven named storms and no hurricanes while the eastern Pacific logged eight hurricanes. Both oceans draw on tropical waves born over Africa, and this year those waves fared very differently on either side of Central America.

Publishers:lufkindailynews.com

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption: Insufficient
Hype gap+10
Incentives: Insufficient
Confidence65

science3 publishers

Lala never made landfall, and the category was the least useful number in the file

A Category 1 peak, 30 to 35 inches of projected rain, and warnings across all eight major Hawaiian islands. The wind rating described almost none of the actual exposure.

Publishers:nasa.govphys.orgscientificamerican.com

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers

Builder: Builder 22%
Operator: Operator 67%
Investor: Investor 11%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption: Insufficient
Hype gap−30
Incentives: Insufficient
Confidence65

science1 publisher

Hurricane Nolo puts Hawaii under a third hurricane watch in one year for the first time

Hurricane Nolo has put Hawaii under a third hurricane watch this year, a first on record. Up to 35 inches of rain could still fall on parts of the Big Island, even though the storm is forecast to pass about 150 miles south.

Publishers:scientificamerican.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption: Insufficient
Hype gap+15
Incentives: Insufficient
Confidence55