Polymarket has added deposit caps users cannot reverse, plus self-exclusion, after sports and parlays took over 98% of its September trading volume. Kalshi, which the CFTC regulates, already offered the same tools, so they help Polymarket defend itself in New York's gambling suit as much as they make it look like a sportsbook.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives65
- Confidence40
No state bans data centres, and New York's freeze, triggered at 1 MW of peak demand, is the only statewide one in force. Of the 15 states with named moratorium bills, six are already dead and two of the live ones end on someone else's timetable.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives25
- Confidence45
SemiAnalysis tracked 6,000 sites by satellite and found 20 gigawatts of planned data center capacity inside restricted local boundaries, of which 1.5 is held up. New York's order adds 0.8, for 2.3 against 38 gigawatts due in 2027.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption72
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives85
- Confidence48
Shell construction is running at a $75 billion annual rate and is up 717% since 2021, which is an impressive number right up to the point where the binding constraint turns out to be a permit and a grid connection rather than money.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption74
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives61
- Confidence48
The multi-state deal restricts what teenagers can do on Instagram, and The Verge notes the enforcement it implies runs through every account, so the team building the check owns what adults give up to pass it.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives70
- Confidence38
New York State and Erie County covered 38.6 per cent of Highmark's $2.2 billion cost, barely half the fifty-year median public share, and the seat count still fell by 16 per cent. That gap is the story.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives80
- Confidence57
The Department of Finance is warning 10,800 more owners while retracting 1,210 from a first wave of about 17,000, an error rate it found only because Albany released preliminary 2025 income-tax data early.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+21
- Incentives78
- Confidence57
Kathy Hochul's executive order halts state environmental permits for facilities generally understood to start at 50 megawatts, which turns twelve months into a discount applied to every sponsor whose permits were not already deemed complete.
Publishers:klgates.com
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives68
- Confidence46
The state's new aid-in-dying law makes patients record their own request. A STAT essay argues the burden it cannot document starts earlier, when a doctor first names death as an option.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives33
- Confidence48
A forthcoming Journal of Accounting Research study finds that unsubsidised firms in counties landing a nine-figure package patent more than neighbours. The optics fight now has evidence attached.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption62
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives58
- Confidence52