Clark County regulators approved permits for Tesla, Uber, and Waymo in one sitting. The headline capacity number is a policy signal, not a deployment plan.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
Waymo has a Singapore timetable that runs to 2028. Whether it holds depends on approval from the Land Transport Authority and a safety assessment at a government test centre Waymo still has to clear.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 22%
- Operator
- Operator 48%
- Investor
- Investor 30%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives65
- Confidence60
Flexdrive handles vehicle readiness, maintenance and depot operations while the Lyft app gets a Waymo when one is available. Lyft sold its own autonomy unit to Toyota for $550 million in 2021.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives55
- Confidence58
Hyundai Motor Group told a media day in Seongnam that Level 2+ reaches mass production in the first half of 2028, and that it will pass competitors' accumulated driving data within five years of that start. About 40 cars collect its data now.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption14
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives74
- Confidence55
The MIT and Motional method, published in Nature, routes a pretrained planner's final decision through concepts a person can read, which is how the team claims faithful explanations and unchanged driving at once.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives62
- Confidence68
Waymo's software VP never names Tesla in his 200-million-mile post, but it arrives as the Cybercab does, and New Jersey is already weighing a bill that would write sensor redundancy into the law deciding who can operate.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption74
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives80
- Confidence55
The Transportation Authority's interim order caps the Strip fleet at 10, bars airport pick-ups and requires human supervision. Zoox's three million logged miles set the template.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+46
- Incentives66
- Confidence57
The Nevada Transportation Authority approved 0.2% of Tesla's requested fleet and kept a human supervision requirement Tesla has already dropped in Austin. Regulators, not software, set the ramp.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+46
- Incentives58
- Confidence55