NASA Technical Bulletin 26-07 recommends homogenizing large aluminum 2219 castings, then deforming them in several directions, to remove corrosion-prone flaws. It says copper segregation left in an ingot cannot be repaired by later forging or heat treatment.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence62
The August 20 National Space Transportation Policy sets a 2030 floor of more than 1,000 launches and reentries a year against 181 launches in 2025, and the people who track range capacity put the shortage in payload buildings and site plumbing.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives62
- Confidence60
Every dollar of the $4.3bn observatory rode one vehicle from one provider, which is the concentration number to carry into any space-sector position, whatever the science eventually turns out to be worth.
Reality
- Evidence63
- Adoption52
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives68
- Confidence58
The telescope's first proposal round came back twelvefold oversubscribed. Hubble and Webb have posted the same result for years: the figure describes how much telescope time exists, not Roman's standing in particular.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption74
- Hype gap−12
- Incentives62
- Confidence55
NASA's Nancy Grace Roman telescope can launch as soon as August 30 with Hubble-class resolution across a field about 100 times larger. Those pixels have to go somewhere.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives58
- Confidence38
Europa Clipper's plasma instrument caught part of a coronal mass ejection that only an off-axis spacecraft could see, exposing a geometric gap in space-weather forecasting.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives38
- Confidence62