NASA's Roman Space Telescope held its pointing steady to better than 1/100,000 of a degree in September tests, for up to eight hours in coronagraph mode. Its coronagraph has also imaged stars, but its starlight suppression is still untested.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
The mission's project scientist describes three hours to triage telemetry and agree on targets, then four more to compile commands that must fit the rover's available time and energy before sunrise on Mars.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap0
- Incentives40
- Confidence60
NISAR scientists turned 17 radar frames of Kamchatka's Krasheninnikov volcano into a time-lapse of lava filling and overflowing its crater. Two looks every 12 days are enough to follow a lava field that grows over months, though the satellite began imaging about five months into the eruption.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives70
- Confidence60
Ten current and former staff told Scientific American that NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center no longer has the people or the equipment to build a telescope like Roman. NASA says flagship missions remain a core Goddard capability.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives62
- Confidence55
The rover's first polygon field gives Gale Crater a calibration point for wet-dry cycling. Orbital polygons are at least 190 times wider, and no rover has stood next to one.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives42
- Confidence48
From 31 August, Ralf Busch's group will remotely melt levitated droplets of nickel-niobium alloys aboard the ISS, chasing thermophysical numbers that anchor years of alloy design.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives68
- Confidence55
A fabric Vivaldi antenna sheathed in Vectran has cleared testing at JPL, letting SkyFall drag a 500-2,500 MHz radar about 15 cm above the regolith and still survive dozens of landings.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives68
- Confidence56