India's 70% toy tariff and quality rules cut toy imports from nearly $300mn in 2020 to $100mn this year. Over the same years its trade deficit with China grew from $44bn to $112bn, and that dependence sits in the components and machinery Indian factories use.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap0
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence50
In a Rest of World interview, Osama Manzar argues that India's buildout takes land and water from districts that are not stakeholders in it, and that the jobs on offer sit inside automated buildings.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives66
- Confidence52
Tariffs, secondary-sanction threats and White House warmth toward Pakistan and China have not moved New Delhi. What holds the line is a political choice with an expiry clause.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption48
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives32
- Confidence46
Nikkei Asia says the Pixel 11 was developed and built entirely in Vietnam. That build is now the standard Google's watch and earbud lines have to meet by 2027.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 17%
- Operator
- Operator 40%
- Investor
- Investor 43%
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives62
- Confidence50
Researchers who interviewed relocated households in Bangladesh and India report that new houses without land, work or services move the risk rather than reduce it.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives50
- Confidence45