September 3 brought $730.9 million and September 18 brought $433 million, so the other eleven sessions of the month netted a combined outflow near $850.3 million against a category holding about $102.5 billion.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption70
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives55
- Confidence45
IBIT took in about $1.08bn over 20 days while GBTC lost $254.7m. But 1.5% on $10bn still collects roughly $150m a year, the same as 0.25% on $60bn, so a cut would cost Grayscale more than the outflows do.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption72
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives60
- Confidence45
Eight sessions of net buying is the strongest evidence yet that the bid is institutional, but daily size has fallen 62% from the peak and 72% of the money came from a single fund.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption74
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives66
- Confidence60
Grayscale's ZCSH lists on NYSE Arca on or about Aug. 25 with Jane Street and Virtu as authorized participants. The premium band goes. The sponsor fee does not.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives70
- Confidence34
Roughly 84 percent of the disclosed stake sits in BlackRock's IBIT, a fund Jane Street helps quote. That makes its book a price input, not just a position.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption52
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives66
- Confidence36