Thrive would have paid as much as $4.2 billion for about 20% of a FIFA subsidiary it would not have controlled, in a structure where the approval that mattered sat with confederations that say they were never asked.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives85
- Confidence55
New York State and Erie County covered 38.6 per cent of Highmark's $2.2 billion cost, barely half the fifty-year median public share, and the seat count still fell by 16 per cent. That gap is the story.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives80
- Confidence57
Infantino spent roughly a year assembling a 21% carve-out of FIFA's tournament rights at a $20 billion mark, then withdrew it on 31 July after the file reached the council members who had been kept outside it.
Reality
- Evidence26
- Adoption4
- Hype gap+27
- Incentives71
- Confidence31
Researchers say the bans and revocations at Arsenal, Manchester United and Liverpool land on the same fans who buy for parents and children, alongside price rises of 800% since 1990.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption68
- Hype gap+16
- Incentives58
- Confidence38
Thrive Capital was lined up and JPMorgan was advising. Three confederations and the threat of a World Cup boycott ended it anyway, which tells you what actually gates capital in sports rights.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives70
- Confidence45