Federal Reserve stress-test reforms finalized Wednesday put large-bank scenarios out for public comment each January and average results over two years. Banks now get a say in the inputs to their capital requirements, so the question for shareholders is whether banks release the excess capital they have held against random results.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives72
- Confidence58
Judge Ann Aiken ruled that Russell Vought's zero funding request for the CFPB was unconstitutional, in a suit brought by 22 attorneys general. The ruling keeps the bureau's claim on the Fed intact through Fed losses, pending appeal, and leaves the size of each request to the director.
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives45
- Confidence58
Sports contracts run above 80% of a market that went from $2bn in August 2025 to $38.5bn. Whether the justices take New Jersey's petition this fall will decide which compliance bill the industry pays.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives70
- Confidence58
French Hill and Tom Cotton want broker-dealers with fewer than 150 employees and no custody of client assets out of the PCAOB audit regime that Dodd-Frank extended to every registered dealer in 2010.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives72
- Confidence55
The exchange wants Bitcoin perpetuals reclassified as swaps, a label that would put Kalshi under swap dealer registration and higher capital requirements. CME's crypto futures did about $4.4 trillion of notional last year.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives72
- Confidence38
A wealth-data vendor counts 187 unregistered family offices in Texas alone, with public ties to at least 1,033 transactions. Regulators and co-investors are both working without the file.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives65
- Confidence52