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Person

Daniel Swain

Climate scientist at University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources who argues an extremely strong El Nino is qualitatively distinct from a normal one.

Known aliases

  • Swain

Current stories

scienceConfirmed3 publishers

Tropical Storm Rachel's swell floods Southern California's coast ahead of a rare landfall

Tropical Storm Rachel is due ashore near the California-Mexico border early Sunday under only the second tropical storm watch ever issued in California. Its swell is already damaging homes and flooding streets along the coast, days before the center arrives.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 19%
Operator
Operator 58%
Investor
Investor 23%

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+5
Incentives
Insufficient
Confidence68
scienceConfirmed3 publishers

Super El Niño's Kelvin wave could lift California sea levels by up to 30 centimetres

Researchers warn an internal Kelvin wave from this year's super El Niño could lift California sea levels by up to 30 cm once it reaches the coast. The raised water would add to winter storm surges, though the oceanographer quoted expects it to distort tides for weeks.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 18%
Operator
Operator 69%
Investor
Investor 13%

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Insufficient
Confidence65
scienceConfirmed3 publishers

El Nino's daily Pacific anomaly reached 3.08 C in September, months before its expected peak

Science News reports the El Nino region's daily sea surface anomaly hit 3.08 C on September 21, past the 3.02 C mark set in November 2015. NOAA's preferred index still ranks the 1997-98 event stronger, leaving two analogues in play for the coming seasons.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 18%
Operator
Operator 54%
Investor
Investor 28%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Insufficient
Confidence68