At least 20 governor candidates have promised data center moratoriums, according to Multistate research cited by Wired. For teams counting on capacity that has not been built yet, where a site goes and who pays for its power are now campaign questions in several states.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Senate candidates in Alaska and Michigan are pitching diesel export curbs and gas tax holidays to an electorate where 47% rank cost of living first. The oil and electricity costs behind those pledges look set to outlast November, whoever wins.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Kansas bankers put about $250,000 into a roughly $1 million ad buy against Republican Sen. Roger Marshall over his swipe-fee bill. With co-lead Dick Durbin retiring, a Marshall loss would leave the Credit Card Competition Act without either lead Senate sponsor.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
The Ratepayer Protection Act would let state regulators require AI data centers drawing 100 megawatts or more to pay for their own generation and transmission. Both of its sponsors are defending toss-up seats.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives78
- Confidence52
Cook rates 21 Republican-held House seats as toss-ups against five Democratic ones. In the Senate, Democrats need four net gains out of six toss-ups. Only that chamber decides whether financial regulators get confirmed.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives45
- Confidence52
Bankers' groups put ads on air for Bill Huizenga and Zach Nunn inside a single week. Three of the four House races American Banker flags are Republican-held.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives74
- Confidence44
Democrats need a net four seats to take the chamber. The variable that bites banks sooner is who inherits the Banking Committee slots that Sherrod Brown, Andy Barr and Roy Cooper are chasing.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives40
- Confidence42