NASA counts 20 named storms and nine hurricanes in the northeastern and central Pacific by Sept. 28, against 1991-2020 averages of 13.5 and 7.4. Colorado State data put storm energy at more than double the norm, so the season is running stronger as well as busier.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence60
El Niño's wind shear has helped hold the 2026 Atlantic to seven named storms and no hurricanes while the eastern Pacific logged eight hurricanes. Both oceans draw on tropical waves born over Africa, and this year those waves fared very differently on either side of Central America.
Publishers:lufkindailynews.com
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence65
The site holds about 17,000 tagged feeding observations covering some 5,700 species, contributed by roughly 2,000 observers in more than 100 countries. The team is still building tools to validate submissions.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives60
- Confidence60
Kearny, Arizona, draws from the Gila River, and its own river commissioner made this cut. The federal Colorado River reductions that dominate Southwest water policy do not govern what the town of 2,000 receives.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives24
- Confidence64
Colorado State researchers modeled a United States where every field went rainfed, and found the replacement cropland would release 6.86 gigatons of carbon, or 363 years of what irrigation's own pumping emits in a year.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives58
- Confidence55
By September 3 the Northeast Pacific had 15 named storms and six hurricanes against the Atlantic's five and none, the split forecasters called back in spring. A basin tally, though, says nothing about where the rain lands.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives38
- Confidence62
The flood along the Nepal-China border came out of ice and rock rather than rain, and the same researchers who count 95,000 Asian glaciers expect up to three quarters of them gone by 2100, which makes this a siting question well before it is a climate one.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives45
- Confidence38
NOAA raised its below-normal odds for the 2026 Atlantic season by 20 points in August. The figure describes an ocean basin, and it says nothing about where a storm makes landfall.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption22
- Hype gap−12
- Incentives32
- Confidence54
The world added 600 terawatt-hours of solar generation last year, which the IEA calls the largest single-year jump for any electricity technology. The cost curve behind it is 47 years old.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption88
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives45
- Confidence66
A Montana State-led study in PNAS reads pollen, charcoal, arsenic and diatoms from closed lakes in the Lower Geyser Basin. Its framing: dry centuries brought less hydrothermal activity and more fire.
Reality
- Evidence57
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+13
- Incentives63
- Confidence50