Chris Larsen gave the SFPD $9.4 million for its real-time crime centre and now says opposition to plate readers has grown huge in two years. Cities are switching cameras off, which makes retention the live term.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption66
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives78
- Confidence57
The San Francisco Democratic Party broke with its state party 17-4 to oppose Prop 40, but the six billionaires who have already ended their California residency are the only votes on this measure that are already counted.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives86
- Confidence46
John Doerr put in $7.5 million and Chris Larsen $10 million against a one-time 5% wealth tax. Measured against what the measure would cost them, that is cheap insurance.
Reality
- Evidence57
- Adoption71
- Hype gap+16
- Incentives84
- Confidence61
Mark Cuban and Ro Khanna spent a weekend arguing on X about California's Proposition 40. The operative question for founders is where the cash comes from.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption52
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives85
- Confidence62
California's billionaire tax faces a nine-figure defense built as ballot engineering: two counter-measures that only have to outpoll Prop 40, not beat it head-on.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives88
- Confidence64