Dresser, Simo and Lightcap are all gone within about a month of each other, with an IPO prospectus already filed confidentially and no offering date attached.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 15%
- Operator
- Operator 38%
- Investor
- Investor 47%
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives72
- Confidence63
Audited figures confirmed by the FT put $19bn of research and nearly $6bn of sales against $13bn of revenue. The $41.55bn charge offered to explain the year's loss is larger than the loss it explains, which is where the pricing argument now sits.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption74
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives78
- Confidence54
Fourteen executives gone in 2026, a listing pushed to 2027, and a Stargate bill averaging $125 billion a year. The headcount is noise. The seats are the story.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption66
- Hype gap+31
- Incentives61
- Confidence38
OpenAI's president has absorbed product strategy and the whole scaling arm while his title stayed the same. Altman is still CEO; the operating decisions are no longer his.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives55
- Confidence46
Sarah Friar told staff an IPO is a milestone, not a finish line, in the same week OpenAI said it slowed scaling and the WSJ reported 18% quarterly revenue growth. Capital is the constraint being managed.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption61
- Hype gap+27
- Incentives79
- Confidence58
The Preparedness team was disbanded at the end of July, per the FT, with its bio and cyber work split across existing teams. Three safety units have now closed in roughly two years.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+26
- Incentives58
- Confidence34
Gemini 3.5 Pro is two months past its promised June date with no explanation, Jeff Dean has left after 27 years, and OpenAI's valuation held flat at $852bn through a $7bn buyback.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives55
- Confidence36