Wesleyan Media Project researchers tracked about $80 million spent on almost 170 AI-made midterm ads, 80% of them from Republican sponsors. Only 31% of those ads told viewers AI was involved, and that rate comes from a sample coders had to find largely by eye.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption30
- Hype gap−10
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence50
Business Insider reviewed 130 US political TV ads and found candidates of every party attacking AI mostly over electricity costs, water use and tax breaks. Companies that need local approval to build now hear that cost case from challengers in both parties.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives35
- Confidence55
Abortion runs in fewer than 5 percent of Democratic Senate ads nationally and about 15 percent of the $40.8 million spent in Maine, where Planned Parenthood Votes has placed its largest buy of 2026 against Susan Collins.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives58
- Confidence55
More than $3.4 billion is chasing a chamber that decides who staffs the administration and who fills open court seats for the rest of the term, and the spending so far shows the two sides pricing the same seats very differently.
Reality
- Evidence57
- Adoption68
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives68
- Confidence55
Public Citizen counts $517 million of corporate spending on House and Senate races in 15 months, with crypto, tech and gaming supplying at least $294 million of it.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption68
- Hype gap+26
- Incentives76
- Confidence42