SK hynix's semiannual filing shows a second unnamed customer buying within 421 billion won of Nvidia. The HBM buyer base is widening, not consolidating.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption68
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives55
- Confidence55
The Reno startup says its Asimov ASIC carries 288 GB of on-package LPDDR5X and realizes more than 90% of its memory bandwidth. Both figures come from the company, and no independent benchmark accompanies them.
Reality
- Evidence26
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+58
- Incentives74
- Confidence54
TrendForce has DDR2 up 55-60% this quarter and another 35-40% next, which multiplies to about 2.1 times, so the cheapest fallback part on the board is repricing faster than most bills of materials get revisited.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives72
- Confidence45
Contract builders for Microsoft, Google and Oracle have told customers to expect more than 15% on Vera Rubin and Grace Blackwell systems. On a flat budget, that is roughly 13% less compute.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives58
- Confidence44
MacRumors reports the standard iPhone 18 slips to spring 2027, leaving September 2026 with three of Apple's most expensive phones and no volume model to sell.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives62
- Confidence38
Denser NAND and a fall from more than $8,000 per gigabyte to under a dollar made small drives pointless to build. Kingston's DataTraveler line now starts at 64GB.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence52
Cache-hit pricing went from 0.025 to 0.3 yuan, peak and off-peak rates arrived, and Moonshot, ByteDance and Alibaba are moving the same direction. Reprice now.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives58
- Confidence34