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Topic

Macroeconomic Forecasting

The practice of projecting output, prices and employment, including think-tank and agency estimates of the long-run effects of policy changes.

Current clusters

invest1 publisher

Tax Foundation prices Trump's tariffs at 0.4% of long-run GDP

The same estimate carries a 3.1% rise in core goods prices and roughly 345,000 full-time jobs. It arrives in the seventh month of a war with Iran that has closed the Strait of Hormuz, and the figures describe a long-run level.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence32
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+20
Incentives45
Confidence40