Topic
The portion of national output paid out as wages and salaries rather than accruing to owners of capital, a standard measure of how the proceeds of growth are divided.
The Anthropic Institute's three scenarios for 2030 run from half a point of extra GDP growth to 15% a year. The interactive model behind them makes you supply the missing variable, which is how much of what AI can do actually gets used.
Reality
Its three branches span an extra half point of growth up to 15 percent a year, and which one you land in depends mostly on adoption and displacement figures the tool asks you to supply. Some 11,000 surveyed Americans land in the middle.
Reality
Anthropic's Economics team has put three 2030 paths for the US economy on the record. Divide the GDP figures by the labour share and the top case pays workers the same total out of an economy a third larger.
Reality