HUG data on 62 Seoul sites shows a pipeline two and a half times larger than in 2021 while the units subscribers can bid for grew only 1.8 times, at a planned price of 52.9 million won per 3.3 square meters.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives68
- Confidence56
Seoul's row houses already average above the 400 million won ceiling, and the officetels below it average 28 square meters. The credit is real; the eligible housing largely is not.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives58
- Confidence62
HUG and MOLIT's three-party lease has the state hold the tenant's deposit and pay the landlord monthly. The counterparty risk does not disappear; it changes address.
Reality
- Evidence22
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+54
- Incentives84
- Confidence41
MOLIT has finalized an equity-accumulation format for part of its public housing: 25 percent at move-in, the rest in tranches over 20 to 30 years. First units could price in the fourth quarter.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives62
- Confidence44
Seoul raised holding taxes on the 3rd and promised 230,000 greater-Seoul homes on the 13th. Only one prior supply plan can be scored, and it is running at 24.2 percent.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption23
- Hype gap+42
- Incentives68
- Confidence41