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DC Circuit lets the Pentagon treat Claude's built-in restrictions as a supply-chain risk

DC Circuit judges ruled 2-1 that Claude's built-in restrictions justified the Pentagon's supply-chain risk label on Anthropic. For contractors running Claude on Defense Department work, a model's refusals are now a procurement question as well as a policy one.

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Photograph accompanying DC Circuit lets the Pentagon treat Claude's built-in restrictions as a supply-chain risk
Photo: thenextweb.com

What happened

  • According to the opinion, Anthropic had refused to relax contract terms that barred Claude's use for lethal autonomous warfare or domestic surveillance.
  • A federal judge in San Francisco struck down the Pentagon's parallel designation, which was issued under a separate supply-chain law.
  • Anthropic said it is considering all options, and WIRED reports those could include the full DC Circuit or the US Supreme Court.
  • The Pentagon has not given detailed updates on replacing Claude with alternatives such as SpaceX's Grok, Google's Gemini or OpenAI's GPT models.

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Why it matters

  • decision A contractor choosing Claude's replacement has to ask each candidate vendor the question the court asked: can restrictions built into its model block a task the Department deems authorized.
  • precedent Reading "otherwise manipulate" broadly gives the Department grounds to exclude the next AI vendor that enforces its usage limits inside the model.
  • cost Contractors pay for the switch as well as the Department, because the national-security finding covers Claude placed in Department systems by either one.

The user moment at the center of this case is small. A government user asks Claude to do a task, and restrictions Anthropic built into the model stop it. According to The Next Web's account of the opinion, that happened more than once [5]. The parties also disputed whether the contract barred Claude's use in an ongoing overseas military operation [6].

"The Department reasonably feared that Anthropic might manipulate Claude's design to prevent it from performing national-security functions that the Department deems contractually authorized and necessary," Judge Gregory Katsas wrote for the majority [7][4]. The key word is "manipulate." The 2018 law the Pentagon used covers a supplier that could "sabotage", "extract data" or "otherwise manipulate" a product [8]. Anthropic read the word as meaning deliberate, deceptive acts, and the majority read it more broadly [9].

Judge Karen LeCraft Henderson dissented [4]. She wrote that Congress passed the law after warnings that hostile states were getting into federal systems through suppliers, and that this history does not cover a contractor's "honest and upfront enforcement of restrictions" [10]. The majority wrote: "But in our Republic, it is the President and the Secretary of War who must determine how best to balance the competing risks" [12]. The administration now calls the Pentagon the Department of War [21].

Here's what teams tell themselves users do: they stay inside an acceptable-use policy, and the policy is a clause someone negotiated. Here's what users actually do: they send the request, and the restrictions encoded in the model decide whether it gets done [2][5]. The majority looked at both layers. It said the Pentagon excluded Anthropic over the company's "refusal to assent to a contract term that the Department deemed essential" [22]. It also said the restrictions Anthropic encodes into Claude supported the national-security finding [2].

WIRED reports that the surviving label will stay in place indefinitely, and that both court fights face the prospect of years of appeals [15]. The coverage says the bar applies to Defense Department work [3]. It does not say whether the label reaches a contractor's purely commercial use of Claude. For Defense Department workloads, I think the migration plan should start now. The tradeoff is that a contractor may pay for a switch that a later appeal in Anthropic's favor would have made unnecessary.

Two questions sort out where a contractor stands. The first is whether Claude touches Defense Department work at all. The second is how long a model swap takes: days if Claude sits behind a routing layer, months if prompts and evaluations were tuned to it. Defense work on a tightly wired Claude is a funded project with a named owner. Defense work behind a routing layer is a configuration change for those workloads alone. A swappable setup with no Defense work can stay put while the appeals run. Deep integration with no Defense work mostly raises questions from customers. Anthropic said it lost revenue after the designations because customers were concerned about doing business with a government pariah [19].

What to watch

  • Whether Anthropic petitions the full DC Circuit or the Supreme Court, and whether either agrees to hear the case.
  • Whether appeals of the San Francisco ruling revive the parallel designation that court struck down.
  • Anthropic's IPO paperwork, if it files this year, for the first figures on what the designations cost in revenue.
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