Invest1 publisher3 min readPublished
TheBornKorea's 37% two-day run prices 80 Canadian hotels; the MOU covers one Markham site
Paik Jong-won came back from a two-week North America trip with a hotel MOU and a US sauce deal, and the shares added roughly 37% in two sessions. Distribution is 4.3% of first-half sales.
The Investor · Invest desk
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What happened
- Shares of TheBornKorea rose by double digits for a second straight day after founder Paik Jong-won returned from a business trip to North America, where the company unveiled plans including opening restaurant brands in Canadian hotels and producing a sweet-and-sour pork sauce in the United States.
- According to the Korea Exchange, TheBornKorea shares rose 12.8%, from 14,090 won on the 13th to 15,890 won on the 14th, when news of Paik's U.S. visit emerged.
- On the 18th, just after the open, the stock jumped as much as 24.98% from the previous session to 19,860 won, briefly crossing the 20,000 won mark intraday, then closed at 19,360 won, up 21.8% from the previous session.
- Compared with the closing price on the 13th, the 18th close marked a roughly 37% gain in two trading sessions.
- The closing price was the highest in about three months, since May 13.
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Why it matters
TheBornKorea shares rose by double digits for a second straight session after founder Paik Jong-won returned from North America with a hotel restaurant MOU in Canada and a local sauce production agreement in the United States [1]. The move matters less as a stock story than as a test of whether a Korean franchise operator can earn money from licensing its brands and recipes abroad rather than shipping product out of Korea.
The mechanics of the run are clear. The stock rose 12.8%, from 14,090 won on the 13th to 15,890 won on the 14th, when news of Paik's US visit first emerged [2]. On the 18th, when the company disclosed the details, it jumped as much as 24.98% to 19,860 won just after the open, briefly crossing 20,000 won, before closing at 19,360 won, up 21.8% [3]. That is roughly 37% in two sessions against the 13th close [4], and the highest close in about three months, since May 13 [5].
What was actually signed is narrower than the headline number of hotels. TheBornKorea said on the 18th that Paik spent about two weeks in the US and Canada from the 2nd, meeting local food distributors and restaurant industry officials [6]. In Canada it signed a memorandum of understanding on restaurant business cooperation with Sunray Group, a hotel and real estate company that operates about 80 hotels in Canada under brands including Marriott, Hilton and Hyatt [7]. The first step is converting one existing Sunray location in Markham, in the Greater Toronto Area, into a TheBornKorea restaurant brand; additional brands at other Sunray hotels and commercial properties are described as something the two sides will then consider [8]. So the committed unit count is one, and the other 79 are an option.
On distribution, Paik met two large Canadian food distributors about expanding sales of sauces including TBK, with the aim of moving beyond B2B supply to restaurants and into products sold directly to consumers [9]. In the US, the company agreed with an unnamed global integrated food company to produce Hong Kong Banjum B2B sauces locally, starting with sweet-and-sour pork sauce, with other brands' sauces to follow [10]. It also plans jointly developed home meal replacements for North American consumers using partners' production and distribution networks [11], and Paik visited the Los Angeles restaurant Osigye to present menu items built on TBK sauces and discuss supply [12].
The reason any of this moves the stock 37% is the concentration it might dilute. In the first half, the franchise business was 93.8% of sales and distribution just 4.3% [13]; management wants franchise down to 50-60% over the long term [14], a shift of roughly 34 to 44 percentage points [15]. Paik told shareholders after March's meeting that this year would be the first year of a leap into a global integrated food company, with B2B sauces and overseas operations across the Americas, Southeast Asia and Europe, and results expected from mid-year [16]. Second-quarter revenue was 83.2 billion won, up 12.2%, with a 5.6 billion won operating loss [17], about a negative 6.7% margin [18], though the loss narrowed roughly 75% from a 22.5 billion won operating loss [19].
Context on the price: 19,360 won is about 43% below the November 2024 offering price of 34,000 won [20][21], and about 52% above the 12,700 won level the stock hit on the 30th of last month after controversies and weak earnings [22][23].
Watch the Markham opening date and its economics, whether the Sunray option converts into a second and third site, and whether the distribution line moves off 4.3% in third-quarter numbers. A toll-manufacturing deal for sweet-and-sour pork sauce is revenue only when someone reorders it.