Science1 publisher2 min readPublished
Researchers urge Nepal to settle who qualifies for aid before reconstruction grants flow
Nepal's Rapid Disaster Needs Assessment counts about 33,000 people who lost homes in August's ice-rock avalanche and floods, and researchers who studied the 2015 earthquake rebuild say the rule for who qualifies for a grant is where the last recovery went wrong.
The Scientist · Science desk

What happened
- An ice-rock avalanche at the Nepal-Tibet border in August sent catastrophic floods downstream, and attention moved on as the chances of further hydropower tunnel rescues faded.
- Nepal's National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority has released a Rapid Disaster Needs Assessment that counts approximately 33,000 people who lost their homes.
- The assessment states that household recovery depends on the restoration of connected services and access, which the analysis says requires terrain that is still viable to build on.
- The 2015 earthquake left more than 800,000 houses needing reconstruction, and most homeowners were given small grants to rebuild under an owner-driven reconstruction model.
Compiled by The ScientistSomething wrong?How this is made
Why it matters
- exposure The households most likely to fail a document check are the ones whose documents the flood took, and the 2015 round shows a relief programme can add vulnerability to the people it was built for.
- decision Municipalities have to decide whether a safer site is worth taking when it sits away from roads, schools and earning opportunities, because families see little reason to rebuild without them.
- constraint Where a technical assessment rules land too hazardous, resettlement is the only route left for that household, so the site chosen for them also sets what they can earn.
After the 2015 earthquake, property ownership was the primary criterion for a reconstruction grant, and many affected people were ineligible as a result [6]. Nepal's new assessment concedes the same problem in its own words: "building ownership alone does not identify all households requiring assistance" [4]. The document also notes how hard verification becomes when papers are permanently lost [4].
The two headline counts do not sit in the same unit. The assessment counts roughly 33,000 people who lost homes [1]. The 2015 figure counts more than 800,000 houses that needed rebuilding [5]. The analysis does not supply an average household size to convert between them, nor a count of how many households the ownership criterion excluded after 2015 [17].
Resettlement is already on the table. Integrated settlements are being discussed as a way to move displaced communities collectively [7], and some households may learn from upcoming technical assessments that their land is too hazardous to rebuild on [16]. The 2015 finding the researchers carry forward is specific: the integrated settlements that struggled most were the ones where livelihood needs and caste-ethnic relations among resettled people were not prioritized [8]. Moving people away from landslides and floods lowers their exposure to those hazards and does nothing about economic precarity and inequality [9]. For many farmers hit in August, the land their farming depended on has been washed away [10].
Nepal's 2015 constitution devolved significant legal responsibility for disaster risk reduction and management to provincial and municipal bodies [11]. In the first days after the flash floods, local authorities had limited capacity to oversee the response, and the Nepal army led search and rescue under direction from the central government [12]. The researchers argue that a one-size-fits-all federal recovery run on a "one-door" policy is unlikely to succeed fully, and that needs-based municipal plans should be negotiated against federal, provincial and municipal policy [13].
The claim at the centre of the piece, that the planning decisions being taken now will shape long-term outcomes [19], rests on work the authors describe as their own collaborative research on post-2015 reconstruction and displacement and on ongoing mountain hazards [18]. The evidence behind it is case-based. What I would weight most is the concession inside the government's own assessment, because it puts the beneficiary problem on the record before the grant rules are written [4]. The same authors ask the global community to meet Nepal's demands for climate justice and reparation [14], and want detailed engagement with affected communities, including many Indigenous Peoples, about what their immediate future looks like [15].
What to watch
- Whether a fuller needs assessment revises the roughly 33,000 figure and publishes the method used to count it.
- Which criterion the government attaches to reconstruction grants, and whether it extends past building ownership.
- Whether technical hazard assessments declare named settlement sites unbuildable, and where the resettlement sites are chosen.