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Three of Korea's five biggest asset managers land on the same US dividend ETF

Asked where Chuseok cash gifts should go, Korea's five largest fund houses named ten ETFs, half of them with US or global mandates, and the one fund three firms picked independently holds US dividend growers.

The Investor · Invest desk

Photograph accompanying Three of Korea's five biggest asset managers land on the same US dividend ETF
Photo: chosun.com

What happened

  • Korea's five largest asset managers, Samsung, Mirae Asset, KB, Korea Investment Management and Shinhan, gave The Seoul Economic Daily their recommended products for Chuseok cash gifts on the 23rd.
  • Samsung, Mirae Asset and KB all recommended ACE US Dividend Quality, which buys blue-chip US companies that steadily raise dividends and deliver consistent earnings.
  • Shinhan recommended KODEX US CPU Semiconductor TOP10, which holds 10 US-listed CPU and chip companies including Intel and is expected to rebound long term on AI CPU demand.
  • KB's chip pick, KODEX AI Semiconductor TOP2 Plus, stays domestic, holding Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, SK Square and Samsung Electro-Mechanics.
  • Koscom's ETF CHECK showed SOL Semiconductor Front-End Process up 20.63% and KODEX US CPU Semiconductor TOP10 up 23.93% in the month to Sept. 23.

Compiled by The InvestorSomething wrong?How this is made

Why it matters

  • contradiction The stated theme is structural AI chip demand, but the only fund more than one firm chose sits in the defensive half of the list, so the managers agree about dividends and disagree about chips.
  • constraint Without fund assets or subscription figures, the list cannot support a claim about where institutional money has moved; it supports a claim about what five product teams will say in public.
  • exposure A saver who takes Samsung Asset's NAND fund owns Micron Technology and SanDisk next to Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, so the payoff turns on global memory pricing as well as Korean capex.
  • decision The two halves of the list need opposite conditions to work: the chip funds need AI capex to keep building, the dividend funds are sold on high rates and volatility persisting.

A month is the whole performance record cited behind the chip picks. Both of those gains cover four weeks, Aug. 22 to Sept. 23, and come from Koscom's ETF CHECK [12]. Compound the larger of them twelve times and you get roughly thirteen times the money [22]. The case the managers actually put is slower: chip ETFs are worth holding for the long term because the spread of AI raises chip demand structurally [3].

"As AI spreads, demand for data storage is rising, and the high-bandwidth flash market will expand along with it," said Kim Do-hyung, head of the ETF consulting division at Samsung Asset Management [6], whose firm recommended RISE Global AI NAND Memory Semiconductor and SOL Semiconductor Front-End Process [4]. Mirae Asset went further offshore. HANARO US AI Memory Semiconductor TOP4+ keeps about 65% of the fund in four US memory and storage companies [9], an average near 16% per name [23].

Ten funds are named across the five firms. Five carry explicit US or global mandates, four are domestic Korean [21]. Semiconductor products account for five of the ten, and no chip fund was named by more than one firm [25].

"Under a high-rate regime, a strategy of investing in stocks with strong dividend growth and clear earnings visibility is more effective than in names highly sensitive to interest rates," said Yook Dong-hwi, head of ETF product marketing at KB Asset Management [14]. Mirae Asset also put forward PLUS High Dividend Stocks, which holds the 30 highest expected yielders among the 200 largest stocks on the main board [15], the top 15% of that list [24]. "Investment demand for dividend stocks could build ahead of the year-end dividend season," said Lee Jung-hwan, head of the strategic ETF management division at Mirae Asset Global Investments [16].

The rest of the list is narrower. Korea Investment Management named TIGER Cosmetics, concentrated in domestic cosmetics companies such as Cosmax [17], and KODEX US AI Optical Communication Network, concentrated in global optical communications companies such as Lumentum [19].

The survey reports what each firm recommends and what its ETF heads say about it; it does not report fund assets or net subscriptions [26]. It shows where five product teams want holiday cash to go. In my view the dividend agreement carries more information than the chip list, because three firms landed on one fund while the five chip picks split across NAND, domestic front-end, US memory and US CPUs [25][21]. The counter-case is the calendar: the year-end dividend season Lee points to is a near-term reason with nothing to do with AI [16], and a dividend ETF is the easy answer for a gift with no stated holding period. If fourth-quarter flow data show Korean retail money going into the domestic chip ETFs while the US dividend fund stays flat, the chip theme was the position and the dividend picks were the pitch.

What to watch

  • Fourth-quarter net subscription figures for ACE US Dividend Quality against the domestic chip ETFs, the first check on whether the recommendations matched money.
  • The next monthly window on Koscom's ETF CHECK, and whether SOL Semiconductor Front-End Process and KODEX US CPU Semiconductor TOP10 hold their August-to-September gains.
  • Whether the year-end dividend season Lee Jung-hwan cited produces the pre-season demand he expects.
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