Invest1 publisher3 min readPublished
Retail orders for 6,000 times the shares available took Enflame up 206 per cent in Shanghai
Investors bid the last of China's four little dragons of AI chipmaking up 206 per cent on its Shanghai debut, chasing the nearly 60 per cent of the domestic AI accelerator market that foreign suppliers held in 2025.
The Investor · Invest desk
What happened
- Enflame, the Tencent-backed designer of domestic alternatives to Nvidia, closed its Shanghai debut 206 per cent higher.
- MetaX rose nearly 700 per cent on its December debut, Moore Threads more than 400 per cent, and Biren 76 per cent when it listed in January.
- Enflame reported revenue of 990 million yuan for 2025, up from 722 million yuan the year before, and has yet to turn a profit.
Compiled by The InvestorSomething wrong?How this is made
Why it matters
- constraint The prospectus discloses a percentage split without a market size, so no buyer can calculate the yuan of revenue that displacing foreign suppliers would actually hand to the domestic four.
- exposure Anyone buying Enflame after the debut owns the displacement case at a price cleared by retail orders that were filled at roughly one share in 6,000.
- decision Enflame has directed the listing proceeds into its fifth- and sixth-generation chips, committing capital to matching high-end foreign performance before the shipping generation has produced a profit.
- precedent CXMT's July debut, up nearly 466 per cent and ending as the most valuable China-listed company, sets the expectation for what a domestic chip listing does to a Shanghai order book.
Revenue of 990 million yuan in 2025 against 722 million a year earlier is growth of about 37 per cent [1], a decent operating result for a chip designer founded in 2018 [11]. The stock moved 206 per cent in the session [1].
No offer price, share count or market capitalisation was reported alongside those revenue figures. That leaves the debut move without a multiple to put on the 990 million yuan [4]. The number buyers do have is a share split. IDC data cited in Enflame's prospectus, translated by CNBC, gives foreign suppliers led by Nvidia nearly 60 per cent of China's AI accelerator market in 2025 [6]. Domestic designers hold a little over 40 per cent [3]. Working out the revenue that displacement would transfer needs a market total, and the prospectus gives percentages only [5]. Enflame, MetaX, Moore Threads, Biren, Huawei and Alibaba's in-house chip programme are all pointed at the same 60 per cent [3][4][13][15].
Orders came in for more than 6,000 times the shares available. That works out to roughly one share allocated for every 6,000 asked for, about 0.017 per cent of the demand [2]. Enflame then moved more stock into the retail tranche [2]. A first-day price set on that allocation says something about the supply of shares in Shanghai. The awkward fact for that reading is that MetaX, Moore Threads and Biren have all stayed above their debut levels since listing [5]. By how much, CNBC leaves unsaid.
Goldman Sachs said in an August report that it expects Chinese semiconductor capital spending to reach 82 billion dollars by 2030, driven by capacity expansion in memory and advanced nodes [8]. That is money going into fabs. Accelerator designers book none of it as revenue.
CNBC reports that investors are betting on the ability of domestic AI chipmakers to replace Nvidia in China [14]. Part of that substitution is already a policy fact. US export controls and Beijing's lukewarm interest in importing advanced chips have shut Nvidia's exports into China's data centre compute market [7]. My read is that the debut prices the 60 per cent and leaves the 990 million yuan out of it, and the next set of share data is what would prove that wrong. If IDC's 2026 split still puts foreign suppliers near 60 per cent, these four debuts were a story about share scarcity in Shanghai. The evidence pointing the other way sits at the model level. Z.ai says its GLM-5.3-Flash model runs entirely on China-made chips, and analysts cited by CNBC said the company likely used a combination of Huawei chips with parts from Enflame and other local companies [13].
What to watch
- IDC's 2026 share data for China's AI accelerator market, and whether the foreign share falls materially below the near-60 per cent the prospectus cites.
- Whether MetaX, Moore Threads and Biren keep trading above their debut levels now that the fourth dragon has listed.
- Whether Enflame commercialises its fifth-generation chip and posts a first profit on the 990 million yuan revenue base.