The National Assembly named Steve Hanke special adviser and told him to write a full dollarization law. He puts the odds of passage at 50% to 80%.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives65
- Confidence40
The waiver is small against a year of American beef demand and not small against the ground beef it targets. Ranchers will price the risk off expectations, not tonnage.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 5%
- Operator
- Operator 47%
- Investor
- Investor 48%
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives72
- Confidence60
Caracas puts the bill above $100 billion for reserves the White House says more than double America's, a stock claim with no schedule attached while the only new barrels come from Chevron tuning old wells.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 12%
- Operator
- Operator 38%
- Investor
- Investor 50%
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+71
- Incentives82
- Confidence63
The European Securities and Markets Authority put the phrase in a report published Thursday. Among the venues it describes is Polymarket, valued at $21 billion after Donald Trump Jr.'s 1789 Capital bought in when it was worth under a billion.
Reality
- Evidence33
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives57
- Confidence41
The Johns Hopkins economist advising Caracas puts approval odds at 50 to 80 percent. What passes or fails is the largest retirement of a currency since the euro, and the end of a lender of last resort.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+42
- Incentives78
- Confidence44
The 10-year sits at 4.696% and the 30-year at 5.284%, both through the markers the Treasury Secretary was defending. The long end is pricing credibility, not the next rate decision.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives55
- Confidence52
Steve Hanke says a "deadly cocktail" has pushed Treasury yields through the informal 4.5% and 5% markers Scott Bessent defends, and he expects another 50 basis points on the 10-year.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives66
- Confidence40