President Trump told reporters he has no concerns about the pace of AI development. Every frontier-risk finding an operator could read this week was published by a lab or by someone who used to work at one.
Perspective Coverage
16 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 38%
- Operator
- Operator 34%
- Investor
- Investor 28%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives70
- Confidence60
Sens. Tim Scott and Adam Schiff back a bill giving film and TV productions a 20% federal credit on US labor, rising to 30% with bonuses. Those bonuses reward rural, disaster-area and multi-state shoots, so part of the contest the bill sets up is between US states.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives75
- Confidence50
Two law firms hired by different tiers of SEIU examined Dave Regan's conduct. One corroborated an account that he pressed the state council to endorse his retroactive 5% wealth tax under threat of a federal labor investigation.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives90
- Confidence55
California's one-time 5% billionaire asset tax is ahead but under 50% with 11% undecided. The poll's own director says that is a red flag. It is also not a reason to stop planning.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives62
- Confidence63
The president told reporters in Ireland that "whoever wins AI wins", a day after Anthropic's Dario Amodei asked the industry to slow down, and the only next step anyone in Washington has named is a meeting this week.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives72
- Confidence55
The Los Angeles Times reports Google is offering hundreds of millions for studio libraries plus a slice of YouTube ad revenue, which tells Disney, Warner Bros. Discovery and Universal what their blessing is worth.
Reality
- Evidence24
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives68
- Confidence34
The collective memory of Glassholes getting hit has no documented punch behind it, which means what shut Google Glass out of bars was a story about being recorded, and Meta's glasses are being read the same way.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap−12
- Incentives45
- Confidence55
NODA AI says the Department of War awarded it $100 million. The government notice describes an open prize challenge worth up to $100 million across multiple awards.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+68
- Incentives78
- Confidence60
Energy Secretary Chris Wright says Middle East flows are back to about 15 million bpd. Tanker trackers put Hormuz alone at 4 to 8 million, and the spread is the number that matters.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives60
- Confidence30