Dartmouth College is investigating AI use in provost Santiago Schnell's writing after a detector scored his essay on AI cheating 100% AI-written. In his apology he names disclosure as the rule he broke, and a college can apply that rule to its provost and its students alike.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence40
Dartmouth and Lancaster researchers tie 88 non-consensual deepfake sites to five mainstream web providers led by Cloudflare, Google and Namecheap. The sites surfaced in keyword searches and every provider already bans illegal use, so the gap the study points to is enforcement.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence60
Dartmouth and Appalachian Mountain Club researchers found significant vegetation gains in 69% of alpine zones between the Adirondacks and the Gaspe. The growth runs fastest on wind-sheltered slopes, where ground surveys will have to settle whether rare flowering plants are losing out.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Prakash Mishra and his co-authors measured the causal effect of EU land protection over four decades and found nothing on vegetation cover or nighttime lights, and he traces the result to who chose the parcels.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives55
- Confidence50
Two detection chief executives describe their own products as probabilities rather than verdicts. That is the constraint to design around before a score is allowed to fail a student or close an account.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives72
- Confidence58
A Proc R Soc B paper argues that fire added as much as four hours to the day, and that fireside storytelling pushed human communication past the ape repertoire. The part worth watching is that a lab can check most of it.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives56
- Confidence63
Andrew Levin argues that a portfolio holding roughly 30% of Treasury notes and bonds and over 40% of agency MBS needs case-specific runoff, not a uniform exit.
Reality
- Evidence24
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives48
- Confidence27