A physician and epidemiologist who nearly died of measles in 1961 warns in STAT about this year's surge. Working through the essay's own figures puts the susceptible share of a childhood cohort near one in ten.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives45
- Confidence56
The Aug. 10 order also cuts the routine childhood list from 18 vaccines to 11 on the argument that the United States is out of step with Europe, and the pediatricians who have read it say no new safety or efficacy data came with it.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives55
- Confidence58
Writing in STAT, a communications consultant compares September's flu, Covid and RSV safety review with the 1955 polio announcement and concludes the movement forgot how to celebrate, on the strength of two episodes and no comparison group.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives66
- Confidence54
Middleboro Pediatrics absorbs two or three newly dismissed families a week, which makes it one arm of a natural experiment whose other arm nobody is following and whose outcome measure nobody has defined.
Reality
- Evidence46
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives44
- Confidence51
Elisabeth Marnik grew up with no vaccines and now runs a science communication group. Her account puts the decisive failure in the consultation room, not in the pamphlet.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption21
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives52
- Confidence44