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Topic

State legislative lobbying

Efforts by companies and interest groups to shape bills in state legislatures, including through hired lobbyists and drafting help.

Current clusters

invest2 publishers

North Carolina's 6% prediction-market tax hands Kalshi a clause it is already citing in court

North Carolina taxed prediction-market fees at 6%, about a quarter of the sportsbook rate, in budget text Bloomberg says a Kalshi lobbyist helped draft. The same text defers to federal regulators, and Kalshi is already using it against states that call its contracts gambling.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+15
Incentives70
Confidence55