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A Tsinghua-led study handed model training to coding agents and got real gains out of them, then found the agents almost never revised the method they chose in the first few minutes, which is the exact part that successor-building roadmaps assume.
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Watch one of these runs end to end and the shape is familiar to anyone who has managed a capable junior with a deadline. The agent takes a base model and a benchmark, settles on a fine-tuning method early, then does hours of genuine work inside that choice: preparing data, launching training, diagnosing technical problems, repairing failed runs, picking a checkpoint [3][12]. Averaged across the study, that is about 3.8 parameter-updating runs per trajectory, 5,111 spread over 1,338 [1][4], and the plan it opened with is almost always the plan it closes with [7].
Memory, skills and feedback took the HumanEval gain from 19.4 points to 40.8 points, a little more than double, since the score moved from 22.0% to 41.4% without the addition and from 22.0% to 62.8% with it [6][11][3]. Those same additions left the decision to change strategy exactly where it was [11]. Better tools make a technician faster; they do not make the technician question the work order.
That distance is the one between what gets pitched and what is being done. A model that builds its successor is doing strategy work: switching training method, adding or dropping a stage, changing the data type, redirecting the compute that is left [3]. What the numbers document is execution depth. An average benchmark score going from 10.4% to 23.0% [5] is 12.6 points of steady grinding [2], and it says nothing about whether the grinder would have taken a different route had the first one been wrong [8].
The finding I would carry into a vendor conversation is the one about taste. Claude Code mostly reached for full-parameter supervised fine-tuning and Codex CLI for parameter-efficient fine-tuning, and which method turned up depended more on the agent than on the task [9]. Run all your post-training through one harness and part of your recipe is a procurement decision nobody wrote down; running the same job through a second harness is a cheap way to see how much of the result belongs to the method rather than the model.
This is one newsletter's account of one paper, and it is precise about the negative result: three attempted fixes, none of which moved agents toward changing strategy [10]. What it does not contain is an experiment separating cannot from was not rewarded for [5]. Agents are trained and prompted to finish, and abandoning a half-built plan reads as failure right up to the point where it reads as judgment. Until someone publishes a strategy-switch rate above the roughly 2% baseline [7] under conditions that pay for switching, the defensible read is that the ceiling has not been located rather than that it is near.
One test that survives contact with a real backlog is a two-column list: sort the last three things you delegated to an agent into plan-choice and plan-execution. If all three sit in execution, the agent is a good buy, and the review still needs a line asking what a competent engineer would have switched to and whether the trace shows the agent ever weighed it. An acceptance test that reads only the final benchmark number cannot tell a good plan executed well from a mediocre plan polished hard.
Ranked by verification strength, evidence, and original report placement.
The Turing Post article examines a paper, "What is Missing from AI Post-Training AI: An Empirical Analysis", by researchers from Tsinghua University and other institutions, which studies AI agents post-training other AI models.
Across 1,338 trajectories the agents completed 5,111 training runs and improved average benchmark performance from 10.4% to 23.0%.
On HumanEval, average performance increased from 22.0% to 41.4%.
Giving agents more experience through memory, useful skills and feedback improved only their execution: HumanEval performance increased to 62.8%, compared with 41.4% without the fix, but more experience did not make agents change their strategy when needed.
Recursive self-improvement (RSI) is described as the idea that AI can help improve future AI systems, which can then help build even better ones.
The paper separates an agent's ability into execution (following an existing training plan: preparing data, tuning settings, fixing bugs, adjusting rewards, choosing the best checkpoint) and strategy (changing the plan itself: switching training method, adding or removing a training stage, using a different type of data, redirecting remaining compute).
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Evidence-backed comparisons of source perspectives and observed adoption signals. Read the methodology
Which Builder, Operator, and Investor concerns the observed source mix emphasized—not a truth score.
Evidence, demonstrated adoption, hype gap, incentives, and confidence are assessed independently, each on its own current evidence. How these are measured.
Precise figures, one unchecked relay
The counting rule is stated tightly enough to argue with, since a run only counted when model parameters actually changed, and the run totals and percentages are all specific. They also all reach us through a single newsletter summarising a paper it does not link, date or fully credit beyond Tsinghua University and other institutions. The one place the text can be checked against itself, the 62.8% HumanEval score, is reported against two different baselines in the same sentence.
No uptake signal in the reporting
This is a laboratory result passed through a newsletter. Claude Code and Codex CLI appear as experimental subjects driving training runs in a study, not as evidence that anyone runs agent-led post-training on real workloads, and no deployment, pricing or usage disclosure appears anywhere in the material.
One study carrying a timeline verdict
Turing Post handles the negative result carefully and does not dress up the gains, so the stretch is in scope rather than in tone. A single post-training study becomes 'an obstacle for RSI', and the headline improvement starts from a 10.4% average, the range where competent tuning almost always shows movement. The 2% switch rate earns the attention it gets; the inference about how fast AI can advance runs ahead of what one uncited paper can carry.
Subscription pull, no product stake
The commercial motive on show is attention: the piece trails an interview for the following week and keeps its Metan and Recuris sections behind the cut, so the bottleneck framing doubles as a serial hook. Set against that, the two agents it compares are neither its own products nor those of a disclosed sponsor, and it has nothing riding on which one looked better at choosing a fine-tuning method.
Direction firmer than the digits
Nothing else in our coverage checks any of this. Base models, compute budgets, agent versions and the composition of the benchmark average are all missing, and the design as described cannot tell an agent that is incapable of rethinking from one that was never given a reason to, which leaves the shape of the finding more credible than any individual number in it.