Product1 distinct publisher3 min readPublished
The New York Times reports Meta's internal ceiling for Anthropic spending reached $10bn a year while Zuckerberg warned about doom-mongering labs, and the agent Claude helped test is set to launch on Meta's own model.
The Product Desk · Product desk

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Meta is exiting the same vendor twice, and the two exits carry very different costs. Pulling engineers off Claude Code costs habit: Meta removed the token leaderboards once costs climbed [9], shipped an update to Muse Code, the coding tool it launched in August, and its employees are increasingly reaching for that instead [19]. Pulling Anthropic out of Hatch costs evals. Four people told the Times that the consumer agent was powered and tested on Anthropic's models [13], and one said the version that debuts publicly will run on Meta's own latest model [14]. Every judgement anyone inside Meta formed about how Hatch behaves was formed against a model that will not be in the launch build, on a product the company has considered pricing at up to $199.99 a month [15].
Renting a competitor's model is often framed as a bridge, held until the in-house model lands. Inside Meta, engineers instead competed on internal leaderboards over who could burn the most Anthropic tokens, a practice the industry calls tokenmaxxing [8]. Token burn is this cycle's stand-in for usage depth, and what it measures is the invoice. It does not say whether the pull request landed, or what the same work would have cost on a smaller model. Meta's correction was administrative: in June it told employees it was on track to spend billions on AI this year and would build a better system to manage that spending [10], which is roughly the move Microsoft made in August when it set division-level budgets [11].
The projection is worth dividing out. Up to $10bn a year is about $833m a month [23], against a current rate of hundreds of millions a month after this summer's cutbacks [12]. The internal ceiling was close to where the spending was already heading, annualised. Set against Anthropic's July estimate that its yearly revenue would pass $65bn [2], a single $10bn customer accounts for about 15% of the top line [24].
That scale is what turned the line item into a competitive question, not just a procurement one. Nat Friedman, Meta's head of AI product, has told some employees that using only Meta's own coding tools or OpenAI's could lower Anthropic's revenue ahead of an offering [18] that TNW reports could value the company at $2tn [17]. The traffic runs in both directions, and cross-buying is normal at this altitude: Meta already pays Microsoft hundreds of millions a year to rent models [5], Google and Amazon have committed $73bn to Anthropic while building rivals [6], and in June Anthropic approached Meta with a proposal to buy up to $10bn in computing [22].
For anyone making this call at a smaller scale, the sorting question is swap cost, feature by feature. Put each place you pay a competitor's model on two axes: whether a model change is visible to the user, and whether your read on quality is tied to that particular model. Internal tooling sits in the cheap corner, where an exit costs retraining and a fortnight of grumbling, and it deserves metering from the first week rather than a leaderboard. A shipped feature whose behaviour your testers have internalised sits in the expensive corner, where the exit buys you a new eval set and an unknown quality baseline. Meta worked both corners this year, deleting a leaderboard [9] and rebuilding the model underneath a product it has not shipped [14].
Ranked by verification strength, evidence, and original report placement.
At one point this year Meta internally projected that it could spend as much as $10bn a year on Anthropic's models, The New York Times reported, citing two people who declined to be identified. Eli Tan and Kalley Huang reported the figures.
Nat Friedman, Meta's head of AI product, has told some employees that if Meta uses only its own coding tools or ones from OpenAI, it could lower Anthropic's revenue before the offering, two people said.
In June, Anthropic approached Meta with an offer of its own, proposing to buy up to $10bn in computing.
Anthropic estimated in July that its yearly revenue would pass $65bn.
Five people with knowledge of the two companies said Meta had become a heavy user of Anthropic's products; Meta and Anthropic both declined to comment.
Meta already pays Microsoft hundreds of millions a year to rent AI models, according to TNW's reporting this month.
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One relay, one original, no comment from either party
Every dollar figure in this story descends from unnamed sources in New York Times reporting that The Next Web is retelling — two people for the $10bn ceiling, two for the monthly spend, one for Hatch's launch model — and both Meta and Anthropic declined to comment on all of it. The on-record material is thin but real: Zuckerberg's published essay, Microsoft's AI chief in June, a shipped Muse Code update, an investor's quote. That is enough to establish that Meta buys heavily from a rival it attacks; it is not enough to pin the size of the cheque.
The spending is real even where the projection was not
Whatever happened to the $10bn model, the usage underneath it is documented in unusual operational detail: bottom-up Claude Code adoption, April leaderboards, a June spend-governance message, hundreds of millions a month still flowing after cutbacks, and Meta's flagship agent built and tested on Claude. Substitution is equally visible — Muse Code shipped an update in August and staff are reported to be moving to it. This is deployment at scale that is already reversing, which is rarer and more informative than either number in the headline.
Two ceilings doing the work of one contract
The framing leans on a number nobody spent. Meta modelled up to $10bn a year; the reported reality is hundreds of millions a month and declining, and the other $10bn — Anthropic's offer to buy Meta compute — never became a deal either. Anthropic's $2tn valuation and $100bn raise arrive in the conditional. The overstatement is modest rather than egregious because The Next Web itself does the deflating, separating the two figures and saying neither turned into confirmed spending; the gap sits in the headline arithmetic, not the body.
Nobody in this story is a neutral party
Meta's own AI product head is reported telling staff that dropping Anthropic's tools would dent a rival's revenue before its listing — the incentive to shrink the number is explicit, and Microsoft's AI chief said the same thing out loud in June. Zuckerberg is mid-campaign, running ads and a 6,500-word essay against unnamed labs. The unnamed sources on both sides of the relationship are describing spend that reflects on their employers' competitive position. And the outlets are inside the frame too: The New York Times discloses that it is suing OpenAI and Microsoft, while The Next Web sources four supporting details to its own prior reporting.
Confident about the pattern, not the amounts
That Meta bought a rival's models at scale while campaigning against rival labs is well enough established to act on — multiple sources, a shipped in-house alternative, on-record statements pointing the same way. The specific magnitudes are one anonymous chain deep with no corporate confirmation. Two dates make the rest testable: Watermelon no earlier than October, and Anthropic's offering as Friedman's deadline.