Indeed Hiring Lab put San Jose first among 386 US metros for generative AI exposure, scoring it 59 against an average near 44. The score reflects each city's job postings, so multi-city employers learn more from their own roles at each site.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence50
Job postings in AI-exposed occupations peaked as the Fed began hiking in March 2022, says a former Fed economist citing a study of 238 million postings. The same column then credits AI with keeping the slump going in jobs it can automate.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence35
A dev.to post treats Stanford's Digital Economy Lab payroll analysis as a near-20% fall for developers aged 22 to 25 since late 2022, while employment for the over-30s in the same AI-exposed roles grew. The author says the cause is unsettled.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives60
- Confidence42
Maria Black's read of payroll data from more than 1 million clients moves the problem from headcount cuts to skills-based team design. ADP also happens to sell the remedy.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives78
- Confidence45
A July 13 statement of eighty-eight words has collected close to 2,000 signatures and 17 Nobel laureates. The measurement work it implies has not been done inside a single company.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives62
- Confidence43
A telecom moving workloads off frontier vendors, a Big Four firm inventing "agent economics," and a widening youth employment gap all point at the same unglamorous work.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives45
- Confidence38