Braham, Minnesota has identified $22.98 million in water infrastructure needs on a $2.2 million annual city budget. The $10.22 million state bond it received cannot pay for security software, network monitoring or staff.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives68
- Confidence36
A projection of $3.4 trillion over ten years averages about $340bn a year. The Congressional Budget Office's more than $1 trillion of offsetting program savings rests partly on Medicaid work requirements most states do not start until 2027.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption52
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives64
- Confidence58
Trump has floated $5,000 DOGE dividends and $2,000 tariff rebates since taking office. The only household cash Congress has enacted is a tax-free $1,000 grant for children born in the next few years.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+64
- Incentives70
- Confidence58
The BALANCE model offers Medicaid agencies most-favored-nation prices on obesity drugs if they also run fitness coaching and nutrition counselling, and one state budget office has so far judged that worth taking.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption14
- Hype gap+52
- Incentives62
- Confidence48
The DOE's new $500 million goes mostly to feedstock, not weapons. And the gap between Pentagon battery buying and automotive battery capex is roughly 90 to 1.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives66
- Confidence47
Enrollment is already at the level federal forecasters expected in 2030. If missed deadlines drove the drop rather than rising earnings, the grocery spending that left is less predictable than any model assumed.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption79
- Hype gap+16
- Incentives74
- Confidence57
Vox reports that blackouts, fuel shortages and broken cold chains have pushed Cuba's universal health system into a humanitarian crisis. Physician supply was never the binding constraint.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption72
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives58
- Confidence45