invest1 publisher
Futures leave the Fed's surprise in an 11.5% chance of a hold
CME FedWatch puts 88.5% on a quarter-point hike to 3.75% after CPI printed 3.4%. The 11.5% left over is a hold, and UBS's Paul Donovan says that outcome would put a risk premium into bond pricing. Trump wants the hold.
Publishers:fortune.com
Reality
- Evidence46
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives62
- Confidence53