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Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) — model — Clarity Today

model

Integrated Forecasting System (IFS)

ECMWF's physics-based numerical weather prediction system, run deterministically and as an ensemble whose grid spacing was cut from 18 km to 9 km in 2023.

Current clusters

science1 distinct publisher

ECMWF's AI and physics ensembles swap places between five days out and two

A five-season Atlantic study led from the University of Miami found ECMWF's AI ensemble carrying more tropical cyclogenesis signal at 84 to 120 hours and less at 36 to 48, which makes it guidance rather than a substitute.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption55
Hype gap−5
Incentives60

Confidence58