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Four AI insiders put the odds of human extinction between 5 and 80 percent
Evan Hubinger, Dario Amodei, Emmett Shear and Daniel Kokotajlo have each published a personal probability that AI kills everyone. The figures span 75 percentage points, and Gizmodo reports that none of them rests on a formula.
Publishers:gizmodo.com
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+55
- Incentives68
- Confidence40