PitchBook counts fundraising by climate-specialist venture firms down nearly 40% in 2025 from 2024. On stage at Climate Week NYC, Dawn Lippert and Mike Schroepfer described energy and critical-minerals rounds filling up with generalist money.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives72
- Confidence45
Sam Altman told Fortune that a listing now would be ill-advised while safety and alignment work is unfinished. More than $180 billion has gone into OpenAI, on Fortune's count, with no scheduled exit.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives72
- Confidence66
Vaughn Crowe has been underwriting manufacturing since 2020 and closed an $80 million second fund last year. The deals list on the same Fortune page totalled $545 million, and $395 million of that went to AI data-center work.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives74
- Confidence58
PitchBook counts a third of US private-equity portfolio companies held five years or more, and about $860bn of net asset value stuck in funds past seven. The delay is the cost.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives58
- Confidence44
PitchBook puts a third of US PE-backed companies past the five-year mark. The harder part for LPs is where the value sits: in funds old enough that the cash was already meant to be coming back.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives58
- Confidence45
The complaint against The Spaventa Group is not really about fake stock. It is about undisclosed spread, which makes it a problem for anyone sourcing AI-era private allocations.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives58
- Confidence54